crop yields Publications

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  • June 14, 2017
  • The Role of Weather in the Pattern of Corn Prices over Time Scott Irwin, Darrel Good, and Todd Hubbs
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  • June 7, 2017
  • Are There Predictable Crop Price Cycles? Darrel Good, Todd Hubbs, and Scott Irwin
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  • June 2, 2017
  • Spanning the Globe - Corn, Soybean, and Wheat Production and Exports since 2000: Focus on the Black Sea Area and the U.S. Carl Zulauf, Allan Lines, and Natalia Pryshliak
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  • June 1, 2017
  • How Should We Use Within-Season Crop Condition Ratings for Corn and Soybeans? Scott Irwin and Darrel Good
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  • May 24, 2017
  • When Should We Start Paying Attention to Crop Condition Ratings for Corn and Soybeans? Scott Irwin and Darrel Good
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  • May 23, 2017
  • Still too Early to Say Much About Illinois Corn Yields Gary Schnitkey
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  • May 10, 2017
  • What's Driving the Non-Linear Trend in U.S. Average Soybean Yields? Scott Irwin , Todd Hubbs, and Darrel Good
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  • May 3, 2017
  • U.S. Soybean Yield Trends for Irrigated and Non-Irrigated Production Scott Irwin , Todd Hubbs, and Darrel Good
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  • April 19, 2017
  • Will the Shift in Soybean Acreage Impact National Yield in 2017? A State-Level Trend Analysis Todd Hubbs, Scott Irwin, and Darrel Good
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  • March 14, 2017
  • 2016 Corn and Soybean Yields in Perspective Gary Schnitkey
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  • March 8, 2017
  • Using the Soybean-to-Corn Price Ratio to Predict Corn and Soybean March Planting Intentions Todd Hubbs and Darrel Good
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  • February 22, 2017
  • Forming Expectations for the 2017 Brazil and Argentina Corn and Soybean Yields: The Impact of La Niña Todd Hubbs, Scott Irwin, and Darrel Good
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  • January 26, 2017
  • Assessing Argentina Soybean Yield Risks: Historical Deviations from Trend Todd Hubbs, Scott Irwin, and Darrel Good
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  • January 12, 2017
  • Assessing Brazilian Soybean Yield Risks: Historical Deviations from Trend Todd Hubbs, Scott Irwin, and Darrel Good
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  • December 15, 2016
  • Assessing Argentine Corn Yield Risk: Historical Deviations from Trend Todd Hubbs, Darrel Good, and Scott Irwin
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  • December 14, 2016
  • Assessing Brazilian Corn Yield Risks with the First and Second Crops: Historical Deviations from Trend Todd Hubbs, Darrel Good, and Scott Irwin
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  • November 17, 2016
  • US Corn Ethanol Market: Understanding the Past to Assess the Future Carl Zulauf
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  • November 16, 2016
  • Assessing South American Soybean Yield Risks: Estimating the Yield Trend Darrel Good, Todd Hubbs, and Scott Irwin
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  • November 9, 2016
  • Assessing South American Corn Yield Risks: Estimating the Yield Trend Darrel Good, Todd Hubbs, and Scott Irwin
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  • November 2, 2016
  • Assessing South American Corn and Soybean Yield Risks: Exploring the Data Sources Darrel Good, Todd Hubbs, and Scott Irwin
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  • August 26, 2016
  • Opening Up the Black Box: More on the USDA Corn Yield Forecasting Methodology Scott Irwin and Darrel Good
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  • August 18, 2016
  • Understanding "Implied Ear Weight" in USDA's August Corn Yield Forecast Scott Irwin and Darrel Good
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  • August 8, 2016
  • Weekly Outlook: What Corn and Soybean Yield is the Market Trading? Darrel Good
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  • July 14, 2016
  • Uncertainty About 2016 U.S. Average Corn and Soybean Yields Persists Scott Irwin and Darrel Good
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  • June 8, 2016
  • Assessment of May WASDE Price and per acre Revenue Forecasts Carl Zulauf
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  • May 25, 2016
  • New Corn and Soybean Pricing Models and World Stocks-to-Use Ratios Scott Irwin and Darrel Good
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  • May 18, 2016
  • 2016 Yield Distributions for U.S. Corn, Soybeans, and Wheat Using Historical WASDE May Forecast Errors Carl Zulauf
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  • April 29, 2016
  • Sensitivity Analysis of New Corn and Soybean Pricing Models Scott Irwin and Darrel Good
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  • April 22, 2016
  • The New Era of Corn and Soybean Prices Is Still Alive and Kicking Scott Irwin and Darrel Good
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  • April 13, 2016
  • Forming Corn and Soybean Price Expectations for 2016-17 Scott Irwin and Darrel Good
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  • April 6, 2016
  • The Relationship between Stocks-to-Use and Corn and Soybean Prices: An Alternative View Scott Irwin and Darrel Good
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  • March 30, 2016
  • Forming Expectations for 2016 U.S. Average Winter and Spring Wheat Yields: What About El Niño? Scott Irwin and Darrel Good
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  • March 16, 2016
  • Forming Expectations for 2016 U.S. Average Corn and Soybean Yields: What about El Niño Transitions? Scott Irwin and Darrel Good
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  • March 11, 2016
  • Examining Factors Affecting Long Term Corn and Soybean Prices Carl Zulauf
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  • March 9, 2016
  • Forming Expectations for the 2016 U.S. Average Soybean Yield: What About El Niño? Scott Irwin and Darrel Good
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  • March 2, 2016
  • Forming Expectations for the 2016 U.S. Average Corn Yield: What About El Niño? Scott Irwin and Darrel Good
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  • November 18, 2015
  • Declining Real Cash Cost of Producing Corn, Soybean, and Wheat: Historical Perspective and Potential Implications for the Future Carl Zulauf
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  • November 11, 2015
  • Variability in Corn, Soybean, and Wheat Production across the Globe Carl Zulauf
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  • July 15, 2015
  • Large Seed and Residual Use of Soybeans and Prospects for Year-Ending Stocks Scott Irwin and Darrel Good
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  • June 29, 2015
  • Soybean Prevented Planted Acres: Historical Background and Implications for 2015 Gary Schnitkey
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  • May 20, 2015
  • Early Planting and 2015 Corn Yield Prospects: How Much of an Increase? Scott Irwin, Darrel Good, and John Newton
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  • May 14, 2015
  • The Relationship between Stocks-to-Use and Soybean Prices Revisited Scott Irwin and Darrel Good
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  • May 7, 2015
  • Understanding and Evaluating WAOB/USDA Soybean Yield Forecasts Scott Irwin, Darrel Good, and Dwight Sanders
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  • April 30, 2015
  • Understanding and Evaluating WAOB/USDA Corn Yield Forecasts Scott Irwin, Darrel Good, and Dwight Sanders
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  • April 23, 2015
  • Forming Expectations for the 2015 U.S. Average Spring Wheat Yield: What Does History Teach Us? Scott Irwin and Darrel Good
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  • March 26, 2015
  • Forming Expectations for the 2015 U.S. Average Winter Wheat Yield: What Does History Teach Us? Scott Irwin and Darrel Good
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  • March 19, 2015
  • Forming Expectations for the 2015 U.S. Average Soybean Yield: What Does History Teach Us? Scott Irwin and Darrel Good
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  • March 6, 2015
  • Changing Landscape of Corn and Soybean Production and Potential Implications in 2015 John Newton and Todd Kuethe
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  • February 26, 2015
  • Forming Expectations for the 2015 U.S. Average Corn Yield: What Does History Teach Us? Scott Irwin and Darrel Good
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  • July 23, 2014
  • The 2014 U.S. Average Soybean Yield: Headed for a New Record? Scott Irwin and Darrel Good
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  • July 9, 2014
  • The 2014 U.S. Average Corn Yield: Big or Really Big? Scott Irwin and Darrel Good
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  • July 2, 2014
  • One Perspective on High Yield for 2014 U.S. Corn and Soybeans Carl Zulauf
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  • April 30, 2014
  • Prospects for Timely Planting of the 2014 Corn Crop Scott Irwin and Darrel Good
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  • April 28, 2014
  • Concerns about Corn Planting Progress Darrel Good
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  • March 25, 2014
  • Causes of High U.S. Corn Yields: Evaluation of County Yields Gary Schnitkey
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  • November 8, 2013
  • Large Corn and Soybean Crops Confirmed Darrel Good
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  • October 14, 2013
  • Corn Prices Pressured by Both Supply and Demand Factors Darrel Good and Scott Irwin
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  • October 8, 2013
  • Range in Farm Yields during the 2012 Drought Year Gary Schnitkey
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  • September 24, 2013
  • Corn-to-Soybean Yield Ratios: History and the Future Gary Schnitkey
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  • September 17, 2013
  • 2013 Projected Soybean Yields Compared to Trend Yields Gary Schnitkey
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  • September 13, 2013
  • 2013 Projected Corn Yield Compared to Trend Yields Gary Schnitkey
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  • August 29, 2013
  • The Evolution of Price Expectations for Corn and Soybeans in 2013 Bruce Sherrick
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  • August 28, 2013
  • USDA Corn and Soybean Production Forecasting Procedures Revisited With a Focus on Derived Ear Weights Darrel Good and Scott Irwin
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  • May 30, 2013
  • Crop Insurance Program Losses in Perspective Bruce J. Sherrick and Gary D. Schnitkey
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  • May 22, 2013
  • Rapid Corn Planting Progress, But Well Below the Record Pace Scott Irwin and Darrel Good
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  • April 25, 2013
  • How Much of the 2013 Corn Crop Will Be Planted Late? Darrel Good and Scott Irwin
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  • April 17, 2013
  • Was 2012 Really the 'Big One' for U.S. Corn Yields? Scott Irwin
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  • February 1, 2013
  • 2013 Crop Insurance Projected Prices, Volatilities, and Harvest Price Impacts Bruce Sherrick and Gary Schnitkey
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  • December 19, 2012
  • Do Recent Precipitation Deficits Tell Us Anything about Next Summer's Precipitation? Scott Irwin and Darrel Good
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  • October 12, 2012
  • Relative Importance of Price vs. Yield variability in Crop Revenue Risk Bruce Sherrick
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  • October 3, 2012
  • How Bad Was the 2012 Corn and Soybean Growing Season? Scott Irwin and Darrel Good
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  • September 13, 2012
  • Projected 2012 Crop Reporting District Yields Relative to Trend-line Yields Gary Schnitkey
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  • August 14, 2012
  • 2012 Corn and Soybeans Yields Relative to Historical Yields Gary Schnitkey
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  • July 19, 2012
  • Current Expectations of Future Corn Prices, and Ghosts of Prices Past Bruce Sherrick
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  • June 26, 2012
  • Where Should We Be Now With Corn Yield Expectations? Scott Irwin and Darrel Good
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  • June 6, 2012
  • Recent Observations on the Tolerance of Corn Yield to Drought Conditions Scott Irwin and Darrel Good
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  • May 16, 2012
  • What is a Reasonable Starting Point for Estimating the U.S. Corn Yield in 2012? Scott Irwin and Darrel Good
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  • April 17, 2012
  • 2011 Corn and Soybean Yields in Perspective Gary Schnitkey
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  • April 2, 2012
  • Winter Precipitation and Corn Yield Scott Irwin and Darrel Good
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  • March 28, 2012
  • Annual Management Return Performance for Illinois Grain Farms: Yields and Prices Nick Paulson
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  • March 23, 2012
  • How Much Impact Will Early U.S. Corn Planting Have on Potential Yield? Scott Irwin and Darrel Good
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  • March 19, 2012
  • Corn Yield Prospects Darrel Good
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  • March 8, 2012
  • Do Warm Winters Tell Us Anything about Summer Temperatures and Corn Yields? Scott Irwin and Darrel Good
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  • February 29, 2012
  • An Annual Look at the Components of Management Returns for Illinois Grain Farms Nick Paulson
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  • February 24, 2012
  • More about the Historic Pattern of U.S Winter Wheat Yields Scott Irwin and Darrel Good
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  • February 23, 2012
  • The Historic Pattern of U.S Winter Wheat Yields, Any Implications for 2012? Scott Irwin and Darrel Good
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  • February 16, 2012
  • A Follow Up on the Persistence of Management Returns: Yields and Prices Nick Paulson
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  • February 8, 2012
  • The Historic Pattern of U.S Soybean Yields, Any Implications for 2012? Scott Irwin and Darrel Good
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  • February 2, 2012
  • The Historic Pattern of U.S Corn Yields, Any Implications for 2012? Scott Irwin and Darrel Good
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  • December 8, 2011
  • Persistence in Management Returns for Illinois Grain Farms, 2005-2009 Nick Paulson and Xijie Lv
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  • September 9, 2011
  • 2011 U.S. Corn and Soybean Yield Expectations Scott Irwin and Darrel Good
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  • August 18, 2011
  • Projected Crop Reporting District Yields Compared to Historical Yields Given Drought Gary Schnitkey
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  • August 16, 2011
  • Near Trend-line Yields Needed in Illinois and Iowa to Meet 12.9 Million Projected Production Gary Schnitkey
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  • August 16, 2011
  • Near Trend-line Yields Needed in Illinois and Iowa to Meet 12.9 Million Projected Production Gary Schnitkey
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  • August 4, 2011
  • Hot Summer Weather and 2011 Corn and Soybean Yields Scott Irwin and Darrel Good
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  • July 19, 2011
  • Hot July Weather and Corn Yields Scott Irwin and Darrel Good
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  • July 18, 2011
  • How Much Risk to the Corn Crop? Darrel Good
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  • July 7, 2011
  • Some "Random" Thoughts About Corn Prices Bruce Sherrick
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  • July 1, 2011
  • Where Did the Corn Acres Come From? Gary Schnitkey
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  • April 26, 2011
  • How Good Were 2010 Soybean Yields in Illinois? Gary Schnitkey
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  • April 26, 2011
  • How Poor Were 2010 Corn Yields in Illinois? Gary Schnitkey
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  • February 23, 2011
  • Higher 2011 GRIP Premiums Still Below Expected Payments Gary Schnitkey and Bruce Sherrick