USDA reports Publications

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  • August 31, 2017
  • Interpreting USDA's Recent Farm Income Forecast Todd Kuethe, Todd Hubbs, and Dwight Sanders
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  • August 28, 2017
  • Weekly Outlook: Cattle on Feed Inventory Remains Above a Year Ago Chris Hurt
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  • August 25, 2017
  • Interpreting USDA's Net Farm Income Forecast Todd Kuethe, Todd Hubbs, and Dwight Sanders
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  • August 14, 2017
  • Weekly Outlook: Corn and Soybean Yield Forecasts Larger Than Expected Todd Hubbs
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  • July 3, 2017
  • Weekly Outlook: June 30 Stocks and Acreage Reports Implications for Corn and Soybeans Todd Hubbs
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  • June 26, 2017
  • Weekly Outlook: Soybeans and the June 30 USDA Reports Todd Hubbs
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  • June 14, 2017
  • The Role of Weather in the Pattern of Corn Prices over Time Scott Irwin, Darrel Good, and Todd Hubbs
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  • June 7, 2017
  • Are There Predictable Crop Price Cycles? Darrel Good, Todd Hubbs, and Scott Irwin
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  • June 1, 2017
  • How Should We Use Within-Season Crop Condition Ratings for Corn and Soybeans? Scott Irwin and Darrel Good
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  • May 24, 2017
  • When Should We Start Paying Attention to Crop Condition Ratings for Corn and Soybeans? Scott Irwin and Darrel Good
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  • May 10, 2017
  • What's Driving the Non-Linear Trend in U.S. Average Soybean Yields? Scott Irwin , Todd Hubbs, and Darrel Good
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  • May 3, 2017
  • U.S. Soybean Yield Trends for Irrigated and Non-Irrigated Production Scott Irwin , Todd Hubbs, and Darrel Good
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  • April 19, 2017
  • Will the Shift in Soybean Acreage Impact National Yield in 2017? A State-Level Trend Analysis Todd Hubbs, Scott Irwin, and Darrel Good
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  • March 30, 2017
  • What to expect from the next USDA Prospective Plantings Report? Olga Isengildina-Massa
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  • March 13, 2017
  • Weekly Outlook: Large South American Corn and Soybean Crop Forecasts Place Pressure on Prices Todd Hubbs
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  • March 8, 2017
  • Using the Soybean-to-Corn Price Ratio to Predict Corn and Soybean March Planting Intentions Todd Hubbs and Darrel Good
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  • February 22, 2017
  • Forming Expectations for the 2017 Brazil and Argentina Corn and Soybean Yields: The Impact of La Niña Todd Hubbs, Scott Irwin, and Darrel Good
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  • February 20, 2017
  • Weekly Outlook: 2017 Corn Prospects Todd Hubbs
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  • January 26, 2017
  • Assessing Argentina Soybean Yield Risks: Historical Deviations from Trend Todd Hubbs, Scott Irwin, and Darrel Good
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  • January 17, 2017
  • Weekly Outlook: USDA Reports Provide Support to Soybean Prices Todd Hubbs
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  • January 12, 2017
  • Assessing Brazilian Soybean Yield Risks: Historical Deviations from Trend Todd Hubbs, Scott Irwin, and Darrel Good
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  • January 9, 2017
  • Weekly Outlook: Prospects for Corn Consumption from Ethanol Production in 2017 Todd Hubbs
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  • December 15, 2016
  • Assessing Argentine Corn Yield Risk: Historical Deviations from Trend Todd Hubbs, Darrel Good, and Scott Irwin
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  • December 14, 2016
  • Assessing Brazilian Corn Yield Risks with the First and Second Crops: Historical Deviations from Trend Todd Hubbs, Darrel Good, and Scott Irwin
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  • November 16, 2016
  • Assessing South American Soybean Yield Risks: Estimating the Yield Trend Darrel Good, Todd Hubbs, and Scott Irwin
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  • November 9, 2016
  • Assessing South American Corn Yield Risks: Estimating the Yield Trend Darrel Good, Todd Hubbs, and Scott Irwin
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  • November 2, 2016
  • Assessing South American Corn and Soybean Yield Risks: Exploring the Data Sources Darrel Good, Todd Hubbs, and Scott Irwin
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  • October 19, 2016
  • Revisiting Surprises in USDA's Quarterly Grain Stocks Estimates--Evidence from Wheat Scott Irwin, Darrel Good, and Dwight Sanders
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  • September 28, 2016
  • Big Corn and Soybean Crops Get Bigger is a Myth! Scott Irwin and Darrel Good
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  • September 12, 2016
  • Weekly Outlook: Large U.S. Corn and Soybean Production Prospects Confirmed Darrel Good
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  • September 6, 2016
  • Weekly Outlook: Soybean Use Exceeded USDA Projection, Did Corn Use Fall Short? Darrel Good
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  • August 26, 2016
  • Opening Up the Black Box: More on the USDA Corn Yield Forecasting Methodology Scott Irwin and Darrel Good
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  • August 18, 2016
  • Understanding "Implied Ear Weight" in USDA's August Corn Yield Forecast Scott Irwin and Darrel Good
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  • August 12, 2016
  • Some Perspective on the USDA's August 1 Corn and Soybean Yield Projections Scott Irwin and Darrel Good
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  • July 20, 2016
  • Revisiting USDA Corn and Soybean Grain Stocks Estimates Scott Irwin, Darrel Good, and Dwight Sanders
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  • June 16, 2016
  • Does the Market Read Too Much into the USDA's March 1 and June 1 Corn Stocks Estimates? Scott Irwin and Darrel Good
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  • May 25, 2016
  • New Corn and Soybean Pricing Models and World Stocks-to-Use Ratios Scott Irwin and Darrel Good
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  • April 29, 2016
  • Sensitivity Analysis of New Corn and Soybean Pricing Models Scott Irwin and Darrel Good
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  • April 22, 2016
  • The New Era of Corn and Soybean Prices Is Still Alive and Kicking Scott Irwin and Darrel Good
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  • April 13, 2016
  • Forming Corn and Soybean Price Expectations for 2016-17 Scott Irwin and Darrel Good
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  • April 6, 2016
  • The Relationship between Stocks-to-Use and Corn and Soybean Prices: An Alternative View Scott Irwin and Darrel Good
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  • March 30, 2016
  • Forming Expectations for 2016 U.S. Average Winter and Spring Wheat Yields: What About El Niño? Scott Irwin and Darrel Good
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  • March 16, 2016
  • Forming Expectations for 2016 U.S. Average Corn and Soybean Yields: What about El Niño Transitions? Scott Irwin and Darrel Good
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  • March 9, 2016
  • Forming Expectations for the 2016 U.S. Average Soybean Yield: What About El Niño? Scott Irwin and Darrel Good
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  • March 2, 2016
  • Forming Expectations for the 2016 U.S. Average Corn Yield: What About El Niño? Scott Irwin and Darrel Good
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  • January 27, 2016
  • Using FSA Acreage Data to Project NASS January Planted Acreage Estimates for Corn and Soybeans Darrel Good and Scott Irwin
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  • January 21, 2016
  • The Crop Acreage Puzzle Revisited--With Implications for 2016 Darrel Good and Scott Irwin
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  • October 15, 2015
  • Progression of USDA Corn and Soybean Acreage Estimates and Prospects for Final Estimates for 2015 Darrel Good and Scott Irwin
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  • September 24, 2015
  • Farmland Ownership in Illinois: New Highlights from USDA Survey Todd Kuethe
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  • August 17, 2015
  • Weekly Outlook: Will the Corn Production Forecast Get Smaller? Darrel Good
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  • August 12, 2015
  • Reaction to USDA Corn and Soybean Production, Consumption, and Price Projections Darrel Good and Scott Irwin
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  • August 10, 2015
  • Weekly Outlook: A Review of USDA Crop Yield Forecasting Methodology Darrel Good and Scott Irwin
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  • July 15, 2015
  • Large Seed and Residual Use of Soybeans and Prospects for Year-Ending Stocks Scott Irwin and Darrel Good
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  • June 30, 2015
  • Weekly Outlook: USDA Grain Stocks and Acreage Estimates Supportive for Corn and Soybean Prices Darrel Good
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  • May 18, 2015
  • Weekly Outlook: Anticipating Changes in Corn and Soybean Acreage Estimates Darrel Good
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  • May 14, 2015
  • The Relationship between Stocks-to-Use and Soybean Prices Revisited Scott Irwin and Darrel Good
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  • May 7, 2015
  • Understanding and Evaluating WAOB/USDA Soybean Yield Forecasts Scott Irwin, Darrel Good, and Dwight Sanders
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  • April 30, 2015
  • Understanding and Evaluating WAOB/USDA Corn Yield Forecasts Scott Irwin, Darrel Good, and Dwight Sanders
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  • April 23, 2015
  • Forming Expectations for the 2015 U.S. Average Spring Wheat Yield: What Does History Teach Us? Scott Irwin and Darrel Good
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  • April 2, 2015
  • The Acreage Puzzle Darrel Good and Scott Irwin
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  • March 26, 2015
  • Forming Expectations for the 2015 U.S. Average Winter Wheat Yield: What Does History Teach Us? Scott Irwin and Darrel Good
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  • March 23, 2015
  • March 1 Soybean Stocks Estimate to Be Overshadowed by Planting Intentions? Darrel Good
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  • March 19, 2015
  • Forming Expectations for the 2015 U.S. Average Soybean Yield: What Does History Teach Us? Scott Irwin and Darrel Good
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  • March 16, 2015
  • Implications of March 1 Corn Stocks Estimate Darrel Good
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  • February 26, 2015
  • Forming Expectations for the 2015 U.S. Average Corn Yield: What Does History Teach Us? Scott Irwin and Darrel Good
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  • February 23, 2015
  • Projected Soybean Plantings Are Surprisingly Low John Newton
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  • February 13, 2015
  • We May Not Have an Aging Farmer Problem After All Todd Kuethe
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  • February 12, 2015
  • Price Projections and Farm Bill Program Choices: Adding FAPRI-MU Projections to the Mix Pat Westhoff
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  • February 4, 2015
  • Long-Term Corn, Soybeans, and Wheat Price Forecasts and the Farm Bill Program Choice Scott Irwin and Darrel Good
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  • January 20, 2015
  • Issues Stemming from January USDA Reports Darrel Good
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  • January 14, 2015
  • Long-Term Corn Price Forecasts and the Farm Bill Program Choice Scott Irwin and Darrel Good
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  • January 12, 2015
  • USDA Reports to Support Corn Prices Darrel Good
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  • November 17, 2014
  • Corn and Soybean Acreage Questions Persist Darrel Good
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  • November 10, 2014
  • USDA Reports Provide Some Surprises, Particularly for Corn Darrel Good
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  • September 10, 2014
  • Do Big Soybean Crops Always Get Bigger? John Newton, Scott Irwin and Darrel Good
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  • September 4, 2014
  • Are USDA Soybean Yield Forecasts Getting Better or Worse over Time? Scott Irwin, Darrel Good, and Dwight Sanders
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  • August 29, 2014
  • Are USDA Corn Yield Forecasts Getting Better or Worse over Time? Scott Irwin, Darrel Good, and Dwight Sanders
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  • August 27, 2014
  • What Can We Learn About Corn and Soybean Yields From Crop Tours? Scott Irwin, Darrel Good, and Gary Schnitkey
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  • August 20, 2014
  • Do Big Corn Crops Always Get Bigger? Scott Irwin, Darrel Good, and John Newton
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  • July 9, 2014
  • The 2014 U.S. Average Corn Yield: Big or Really Big? Scott Irwin and Darrel Good
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  • July 7, 2014
  • Pork: USDA Reports Help Brighten Outlook Chris Hurt
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  • June 9, 2014
  • Importance of Month-End USDA Reports for Corn Darrel Good
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  • May 21, 2014
  • Accuracy of USDA Forecasts of Corn Ending Stocks Darrel Good and Scott Irwin
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  • May 12, 2014
  • Second Guessing USDA Projections for Corn Darrel Good
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  • May 9, 2014
  • Highlights of the 2012 Census of Agriculture: Number of Farms Todd Kuethe
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  • April 9, 2014
  • The Relationship between Planting Intentions, Actual Plantings, and Prevented Plantings over 2007-2013 Darrel Good and Scott Irwin
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  • April 7, 2014
  • Pork: PEDv Losses Not As Large As Expected Chris Hurt
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  • April 4, 2014
  • Are There Acres Missing from the USDA's Prospective Plantings Report? Darrel Good and Scott Irwin
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  • March 31, 2014
  • USDA Estimates Reasonably Close to Expectations Darrel Good
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  • March 24, 2014
  • Reports Continue to Support Corn and Soybean Prices Darrel Good
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  • March 17, 2014
  • Anticipating the March 1 Soybean Stocks Estimate Darrel Good
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  • March 10, 2014
  • Calculations for March 1 Corn Stocks Estimate Darrel Good
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  • February 17, 2014
  • Who's Right about Corn Prices? Darrel Good
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  • February 14, 2014
  • The Role of Sampling Errors in Explaining Recent Surprises in USDA Corn Stocks Estimates: Part II Scott Irwin, Dwight Sanders and Darrel Good
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  • February 13, 2014
  • The Role of Sampling Errors in Explaining Recent Surprises in USDA Corn Stocks Estimates: Part I Scott Irwin, Dwight Sanders and Darrel Good
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  • February 10, 2014
  • Corn, Soybean, and Wheat Export Projections Increased Darrel Good
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  • February 7, 2014
  • Explanations for Recent Surprises in USDA Corn Stocks Estimates: How Well Do they Hold Up? Scott Irwin, Dwight Sanders and Darrel Good
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  • January 29, 2014
  • Is There a Problem with USDA Grain Stocks Estimates in Corn? Scott Irwin, Dwight Sanders and Darrel Good
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  • January 21, 2014
  • Comparing NASS and FSA Planted Acreage Data Darrel Good
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  • January 17, 2014
  • Evaluation of Selected USDA WAOB and NASS Forecasts and Estimates in Corn and Soybeans Scott Irwin, Dwight Sanders and Darrel Good
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  • December 2, 2013
  • Why Is Anticipating Feed and Residual Use of Corn So Difficult? Darrel Good
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  • November 8, 2013
  • Large Corn and Soybean Crops Confirmed Darrel Good
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  • August 28, 2013
  • USDA Corn and Soybean Production Forecasting Procedures Revisited With a Focus on Derived Ear Weights Darrel Good and Scott Irwin
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  • March 21, 2013
  • What's Next for the Cattle Market? Paul E. Peterson
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  • August 29, 2012
  • Consumer Spending and Beef Demand Paul E. Peterson
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  • June 1, 2012
  • Beef Supplies and Cattle Industry Expansion Plans Paul E. Peterson
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  • January 17, 2012
  • Understanding the Surprise in the USDA Corn Stocks Estimate Darrel Good
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  • September 1, 2011
  • USDA Corn and Soybean Yield Forecast Errors Across Report Release Months Scott Irwin and Darrel Good
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  • August 19, 2011
  • Have the Accuracy of USDA's August Corn and Soybean Production Forecasts Changed? Scott Irwin and Darrel Good
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  • March 23, 2011
  • USDA Corn and Soybean Acreage Estimates and Yield Forecasts: Dispelling Myths and Misunderstandings Darrel Good and Scott Irwin