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Brad Zwilling
profitability

Characteristics of Higher Profit Farms – 2011 through 2020

June 17, 2021
Bradley Zwilling
Data from the Illinois Farm Business Farm Management Association (FBFM) for 2011 through 2020 was used to analyze selected differences between the highest profit grain farms (high one-third) and the lower profit grain farms (low one-third). The analysis was done…
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Recent Articles

Carl Zulauf
Gary Schnitkey
Krista Swanson
Nick Paulson
Weekly Farm Economics

Chances of Lower Harvest Revenues for Corn and Soybeans in 2021

June 15, 2021
Nick Paulson, Krista Swanson, Carl Zulauf, and Gary Schnitkey
The harvest-time futures contracts for corn and soybeans continue to trade at levels well above those experienced since 2013. In a recent article, we used the farmdoc Price Discovery Tool to illustrate downside price risk based on market-based assessments at…
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Carl Zulauf
farm program analysis and outlook
Gardner Policy Series
Gary Schnitkey
Krista Swanson
long-term outlook
Nick Paulson

Stock-to-Use Ratios of US Corn, Soybeans, and Wheat Since 1960

June 14, 2021
Carl Zulauf, Gary Schnitkey, Krista Swanson, and Nick Paulson
Stocks are an important market variable.  They reflect the balance between supply and demand.  High stocks generally mean low prices, and vice versa.  US policy toward stocks has changed over time, culminating in the 1996 farm bill eliminating most public…
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grain outlook
Scott Irwin
USDA reports

Estimating Total Crop Acres in the U.S.

June 10, 2021
Scott Irwin
The March 31st Prospective Plantings report from the USDA continues to reverberate through the grain markets.  The report indicated that both corn and soybean planted acreage was much smaller than expected (farmdoc daily, April 7, 2021).  This has prompted considerable…
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Carl Zulauf
crop economics
Gary Schnitkey
Krista Swanson
Nick Paulson
Weekly Farm Economics

Direct Costs and Prices on Grain Farms

June 8, 2021
Gary Schnitkey, Nick Paulson, Carl Zulauf, and Krista Swanson
Over time, per acre input costs on grain farms tend to rise with commodity price increases (see also farmdoc daily, September 17, 2015). In this article, we illustrate this relationship for corn in 1) central Illinois using data from Illinois…
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costs of production
Michael Langemeier
profitability

International Benchmarks for Corn Production

June 4, 2021
Michael Langemeier
Examining the competitiveness of corn production in different regions of the world is often difficult due to lack of comparable data and agreement regarding what needs to be measured.  To be useful, international data needs to be expressed in common…
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Joe Janzen
marketing strategies and basis

The Weather Risk Premium in New-Crop Corn Futures Prices

June 2, 2021
Joe Janzen
As spring planting nears completion in much of the corn belt, attention turns to the weather and its impact on crop yields and prices. Market analysts often speak of a “weather premium” in the futures price for harvest-time delivery (i.e.…
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Recent Series

Weekly Outlook

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Significant Revisions, Bullish Inventories, and Bearish Farrowing Estimates

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Many Market Ready Hogs with Industry Contraction to Follow

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Soybeans Rally despite Record Yield Forecast

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Corn Bottoming or Taking a Breather?

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Weekly Farm Economics

View Series Archive

Chances of Lower Harvest Revenues for Corn and Soybeans in 2021

June 15, 2021

Direct Costs and Prices on Grain Farms

June 8, 2021

Potential Impact of Estate Tax Changes on Illinois Grain Farms

June 1, 2021

Returns to Alternative Rental Arrangements, Central Illinois, High-Productivity Farmland

May 25, 2021

High Corn and Soybean Return Outlook for 2021

May 18, 2021

Gardner Policy Series

View Series Archive

Stock-to-Use Ratios of US Corn, Soybeans, and Wheat Since 1960

June 14, 2021

Potential Impact of Estate Tax Changes on Illinois Grain Farms

June 1, 2021

American Families Plan Impact on Illinois Grain Farms

May 28, 2021

The Evolving US Cotton Safety Net

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Supplemental Area Insurance and Basis Risk Measures: Part II

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