Collected Publications for Farm Program Analysis and Outlook - farmdoc daily

The New Base Acre Provisions in the 2025 Farm Bill

July 11, 2025
Carl Zulauf, Gary Schnitkey, and Nick Paulson

2024 NASS County Corn and Soybean Yields

May 13, 2025
Nick Paulson, Gary Schnitkey, and Carl Zulauf

Are US Crop Production Costs High?

April 30, 2025
Carl Zulauf, Gary Schnitkey, Jonathan Coppess, and Nick Paulson

US Crop Agriculture’s Government Payment Trap

April 21, 2025
Carl Zulauf, Gary Schnitkey, Nick Paulson, and Jonathan Coppess

Countercyclical Performance of Commodity, Insurance, and Ad Hoc Crop Programs

April 16, 2025
Carl Zulauf, Nick Paulson, Jonathan Coppess, and Gary Schnitkey

Demise of the US Countercyclical Crop Safety Net

April 11, 2025
Carl Zulauf, Jonathan Coppess, Gary Schnitkey, and Nick Paulson

Self-Insurance by US Farmers

April 3, 2025
Carl Zulauf, Jonathan Coppess, Gary Schnitkey, and Nick Paulson

US Farm Program Crops in the Planting Flexibility Era

March 28, 2025
Carl Zulauf, Gary Schnitkey, Jonathan Coppess, and Nick Paulson

US Corn, Soybean, and Wheat Acres in the Planting Flexibility Era

March 3, 2025
Carl Zulauf, Jonathan Coppess, Gary Schnitkey, and Nick Paulson

Are US Commodity Program Payments Impacting Planted Acres?

February 24, 2025
Carl Zulauf, David Orden, Jonathan Coppess, Gary Schnitkey, and Nick Paulson

Should SCO Impact Your Decision to Use ARC-CO for 2025?

February 18, 2025
Nick Paulson, Gary Schnitkey, and Carl Zulauf

Improving Contemporary Ad Hoc Economic Assistance

January 31, 2025
Carl Zulauf, Jonathan Coppess, Nick Paulson, and Gary Schnitkey

The 2025 Farm Bill What-If Tool

January 28, 2025
Nick Paulson, Gary Schnitkey, Ryan Batts, and Carl Zulauf

Impacts of Economic Assistance Payments

January 7, 2025
Nick Paulson, Gary Schnitkey, Carl Zulauf, and Jonathan Coppess

A Mid-December Look at 2024 Crop Safety Net Payments

December 13, 2024
Carl Zulauf, Jonathan Coppess, and Gary Schnitkey

Assessing Design of the FARM Ad Hoc Assistance Proposal

November 13, 2024
Carl Zulauf, Gary Schnitkey, Jonathan Coppess, and Nick Paulson

Reviewing the Latest Ad Hoc Payment Proposal in Congress

November 4, 2024
Jonathan Coppess, Gary Schnitkey, Carl Zulauf, and Nick Paulson

Fixing Holes in the Current Crop Safety Net

October 30, 2024
Carl Zulauf, Gary Schnitkey, Jonathan Coppess and Nick Paulson

2023 ARC-CO and PLC Payments for Corn, Soybeans, and Wheat

October 29, 2024
Nick Paulson, Gary Schnitkey, Carl Zulauf, Jonathan Coppess

Net Return to Farm Program Crops: Harvest 2024

October 16, 2024
Carl Zulauf

Crop Insurance as a Payment Program

September 4, 2024
Carl Zulauf and Gary Schnitkey

Examining the Restriction on Using SCO Insurance for Acres in ARC

August 21, 2024
Carl Zulauf, Jonathan Coppess, Gary Schnitkey, and Nick Paulson

SCO and ECO Payment Prospects for 2024

August 20, 2024
Nick Paulson, Gary Schnitkey, and Carl Zulauf

ARC and PLC Payment Prospects for 2023 and 2024

August 13, 2024
Nick Paulson, Carl Zulauf, and Gary Schnitkey

Use of Supplemental Coverage Option by Crop

August 7, 2024
Carl Zulauf, Nick Paulson, Jonathan Coppess, and Gary Schnitkey

Agricultural Land Lost to Development in the Midwest

August 5, 2024
Mujahidul Islam, Ani Katchova, and Carl Zulauf

Number of Farms and Land in Farms in the Midwest

July 29, 2024
Ani Katchova, Suraksha Baral, Rae Ju, and Carl Zulauf

US Federal Debt, Interest Outlays, and the Farm Safety Net

July 24, 2024
Carl Zulauf, David Orden, Nick Paulson, Jonathan Coppess, and Gary Schnitkey

Crop Insurance and Statutory Reference Prices

July 17, 2024
Carl Zulauf, Jonathan Coppess, Nick Paulson, and Gary Schnitkey

Commodity Program Base Acre Update: Overlooked Issues

June 12, 2024
Carl Zulauf, Gary Schnitkey, Nick Paulson, and Jonathan Coppess

US Inflation and Interest Rates

June 5, 2024
Carl Zulauf, Gary Schnitkey

Are Changes in Cost of Production and Statutory Reference Prices Related in the House Agriculture Committee 2024 Farm Bill?

May 29, 2024
Carl Zulauf, Gary Schnitkey, Jonathan Coppess, and Nick Paulson

Crop Insurance Unit and Adverse Selection

May 15, 2024
Carl Zulauf, Bruce Sherrick, Jonathan Coppess, Nick Paulson, and Gary Schnitkey

Age of US Farmers: Not a Problem

May 8, 2024
Carl Zulauf

Agricultural Land Shifts to the Tropics: A Strategic Challenge for US Crops

April 17, 2024
Carl Zulauf, Gary Schnitkey, Joana Colussi, and Nick Paulson

Land, not Exports, is the US Field Crop Problem – Part 1, US vs. World

April 3, 2024
Carl Zulauf, Joana Colussi, Gary Schnitkey, Nick Paulson, and David Orden

Exploring Yield Growth: US Crops in a Global 21st Century Context

March 20, 2024
Carl Zulauf, Joana Colussi, Nick Paulson, and Gary Schnitkey

Assessing US Performance: Land and 21st Century Field Crop Production

March 6, 2024
Carl Zulauf, Joana Colussi, Nick Paulson, and Gary Schnitkey

Estimated Likelihoods of PLC and ARC-CO Payments for 2024

February 27, 2024
Nick Paulson, Gary Schnitkey, Jonathan Coppess, and Carl Zulauf

US Dairy Herds and Policy and the 2022 Census of Agriculture

February 23, 2024
Carl Zulauf and Gary Schnitkey

Cover Crops and Covered Cropland, 2022 US Census of Agriculture

February 22, 2024
Carl Zulauf, Gary Schnitkey, Nick Paulson, and Jonathan Coppess

2024 Commodity Program Decision from the PLC Perspective

February 7, 2024
Carl Zulauf

County Yield Variability and ARC-CO

February 6, 2024
Nick Paulson, Carl Zulauf, Gary Schnitkey, and Jonathan Coppess

Considering Low Prices, Yields, and Maximum ARC-CO Payments for 2024

January 30, 2024
Nick Paulson, Gary Schnitkey, Carl Zulauf, Jonathan Coppess, and Jim Baltz

US Farm Commodity Insurance Program Trends

January 24, 2024
Carl Zulauf, Gary Schnitkey, Jonathan Coppess, and Nick Paulson

Comparing 2024 Effective Reference and ARC Benchmark Prices

January 23, 2024
Nick Paulson, Carl Zulauf, Jonathan Coppess, and Gary Schnitkey

First Look at PLC and ARC-CO for 2024

January 16, 2024
Nick Paulson, Gary Schnitkey, Ryan Batts, and Carl Zulauf

The Post 2006 New Normal: US Grain and Oilseed Profitability

November 8, 2023
Carl Zulauf and Gary Schnitkey

The Post 1990 New Normal: Stable Real US Crop Prices

October 31, 2023
Carl Zulauf, Nick Paulson, Jonathan Coppess, and Gary Schnitkey

Comparing SCO and ECO Payment Frequency in Two Illinois Counties

July 18, 2023
Gary Schnitkey, Nick Paulson, Carl Zulauf, and Jim Baltz

Older Posts →