Collected Publications for Farm Program Analysis and Outlook - farmdoc daily

The Post 2006 New Normal: US Grain and Oilseed Profitability

November 8, 2023
Carl Zulauf and Gary Schnitkey

The Post 1990 New Normal: Stable Real US Crop Prices

October 31, 2023
Carl Zulauf, Nick Paulson, Jonathan Coppess, and Gary Schnitkey

Comparing SCO and ECO Payment Frequency in Two Illinois Counties

July 18, 2023
Gary Schnitkey, Nick Paulson, Carl Zulauf, and Jim Baltz

Cost of Production and Farm Policy, Part II: Statutory Reference Prices

June 28, 2023
Carl Zulauf, Jonathan Coppess, Gary Schnitkey, and Nick Paulson

Cost of Production and Farm Policy: Part I

June 21, 2023
Carl Zulauf, Gary Schnitkey, and Nick Paulson

2021 Commodity Program Payment Dashboard

May 22, 2023
Carl Zulauf and Jonathan Coppess

Margin, Price, Revenue in the Farm Bill Commodity Program Context

May 8, 2023
Carl Zulauf, Nick Paulson, Gary Schnitkey, and Jonathan Coppess

State Shares of US Commodity Program Payments: 2002–2021

May 3, 2023
Carl Zulauf, Jonathan Coppess, Gary Schnitkey, and Nick Paulson

Are Crop Insurance Net Indemnities and Commodity Program Payments Countercyclical?

April 10, 2023
Carl Zulauf, Gary Schnitkey, Nick Paulson, and Jonathan Coppess

Farm Payments by Programs other than Commodity Programs and Crop Insurance: Third Pillar of the US Farm Safety Net

April 5, 2023
Carl Zulauf, Nick Paulson, and Gary Schnitkey

Is Loss Ratio a Sufficient Measure of Crop Insurance Performance?

March 27, 2023
Carl Zulauf and Gary Schnitkey

The Farm Bill in the CBO World: An Illustration Eliminating the Price Escalator to Address Statutory Reference Price Inequality

March 20, 2023
Carl Zulauf, Gary Schnitkey, and Nick Paulson

2023 ARC-CO vs. PLC Program Decision Indicator

February 20, 2023
Carl Zulauf, Nick Paulson, and Gary Schnitkey

2023 Commodity Title Choices: ARC-CO and PLC

January 24, 2023
Gary Schnitkey, Ryan Batts, Carl Zulauf, and Nick Paulson

US Crop Safety Net Policy since 1975 as a Margin Safety Net

December 9, 2022
Carl Zulauf, Michael Langemeier, and Gary Schnitkey

2014 Farm Bill Voluntary Base Acre Reallocation: Cost Assessment

September 26, 2022
Carl Zulauf, Gary Schnitkey, and Krista Swanson

Allowing New Base Acres for Current Program Commodities: An Assessment

August 26, 2022
Carl Zulauf, Jonathan Coppess, Gary Schnitkey, Krista Swanson, and Nick Paulson

Planting Flexibility and Current US Crop Acres

August 24, 2022
Carl Zulauf, Nick Paulson, Krista Swanson, Jonathan Coppess, and Gary Schnitkey

2024 Farm Bill Dilemma, 1981 Farm Bill, and 2018 Farm Bill Price Support Adjustments

July 6, 2022
Carl Zulauf, Gary Schnitkey, Krista Swanson, Jonathan Coppess, and Nick Paulson

Effective Reference Price – Past and Future

June 29, 2022
Carl Zulauf, Gary Schnitkey, Krista Swanson, Nick Paulson, and Jonathan Coppess

Continuous Disaster Aid Programs in U.S. Agriculture: A Policy Discussion

June 14, 2022
Krista Swanson, Gary Schnitkey, Carl Zulauf, Jonathan Coppess, and Nick Paulson

Continued Discussion of Disaster Programs in U.S. Agriculture: Interactions with Crop Insurance

June 7, 2022
Krista Swanson, Gary Schnitkey, Carl Zulauf, Jonathan Coppess, and Nick Paulson

The Continuation of Disaster Programs in U.S. Agriculture: Emergency Relief Program

June 6, 2022
Krista Swanson, Gary Schnitkey, Carl Zulauf, Jonathan Coppess, and Nick Paulson

Prevent Plant Policy Options

May 13, 2022
Carl Zulauf, Gary Schnitkey, Krista Swanson, Nick Paulson, and Jonathan Coppess

US Agriculture’s Strategic Question

May 2, 2022
Carl Zulauf, Gary Schnitkey, Nick Paulson, Krista Swanson, and Jonathan Coppess

Monopoly Pricing Power and Fertilizer Prices

April 13, 2022
Carl Zulauf, Gary Schnitkey, Krista Swanson, and Nick Paulson

How Related are Crop Insurance and Commodity Program Payments?

April 6, 2022
Carl Zulauf, Gary Schnitkey, Krista Swanson, Nick Paulson, and Jonathan Coppess

ARC vs. PLC: Their Different Policy Objectives and the Design of Commodity Programs

March 16, 2022
Carl Zulauf, Gary Schnitkey, Nick Paulson, and Krista Swanson

2022 Commodity Program Decision: ARC-CO – PLC Decision Indicator

February 24, 2022
Carl Zulauf, Gary Schnitkey, Krista Swanson, and Nick Paulson

Conservation Reserve Program’s Evolving Mission

February 17, 2022
Carl Zulauf, Nick Paulson, Krista Swanson, and Gary Schnitkey

Policy Budget for Cover Crops and the Lesson of Crop Insurance

January 27, 2022
Carl Zulauf and Gary Schnitkey

How Well Have Farmers Done in Choosing Between ARC-CO and PLC

January 26, 2022
Carl Zulauf, Gary Schnitkey, Nick Paulson, and Krista Swanson

2020 Commodity Program Payment Dashboard

January 13, 2022
Carl Zulauf, Gary Schnitkey, Krista Swanson, and Nick Paulson

US Labor Market and Labor Wage Inflation

January 6, 2022
Carl Zulauf, Gary Schnitkey, Nick Paulson, and Krista Swanson

US Interest Rates

December 23, 2021
Carl Zulauf, Gary Schnitkey, Krista Swanson, and Nick Paulson

US Federal Debt

December 20, 2021
Carl Zulauf, Gary Schnitkey, Krista Swanson, and Nick Paulson

Does December Cash Price Help Predict If ARC-CO or PLC Pays More Next Year?

December 9, 2021
Carl Zulauf, Gary Schnitkey, Krista Swanson, and Nick Paulson

New and Beginning Farmers

November 3, 2021
Carl Zulauf, Gary Schnitkey, Krista Swanson, and Nick Paulson

2021 CRP (Conservation Reserve Program) Sign Up Dashboard

October 25, 2021
Carl Zulauf, Krista Swanson, Gary Schnitkey, and Nick Paulson

2021 Commodity Program Enrollment Dashboard

September 30, 2021
Carl Zulauf, Gary Schnitkey, Krista Swanson, and Nick Paulson

An Evolving Path to Declining US Crop Acres

September 8, 2021
Carl Zulauf

US Animal and Product Production, 2018-2021

August 30, 2021
Carl Zulauf and Ben Brown

Stock-to-Use Ratios of US Corn, Soybeans, and Wheat Since 1960

June 14, 2021
Carl Zulauf, Gary Schnitkey, Krista Swanson, and Nick Paulson

The Evolving US Cotton Safety Net

May 13, 2021
Carl Zulauf, Krista Swanson, Gary Schnitkey, and Nick Paulson

Supplemental Area Insurance and Basis Risk Measures: Part II

May 6, 2021
Juo-Han Tsay, Nick Paulson, and Gary Schnitkey

Supplemental Area Insurance and Basis Risk Measures: Part I

May 5, 2021
Juo-Han Tsay, Nick Paulson, and Gary Schnitkey

Case for Ad Hoc Assistance in the Presence of Commodity Programs: MFP 2018

April 29, 2021
Carl Zulauf, Nick Paulson, Gary Schnitkey, and Krista Swanson

A Farm Policy Experiment: A Differentiated Rice Commodity Program

April 8, 2021
Carl Zulauf, Gary Schnitkey, Krista Swanson, and Nick Paulson

Final Thoughts on the 2021 ARC/PLC Decision

March 8, 2021
Nick Paulson, Gary Schnitkey, Carl Zulauf, Jonathan Coppess, and Krista Swanson

2019 Covered Commodity Dashboard and Implications for the Crop Safety Net

February 18, 2021
Carl Zulauf, Gary Schnitkey, Krista Swanson, Nick Paulson, and Jonathan Coppess

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