Collected Publications for farmdoc daily - farmdoc daily

Brazil Heads for a Record Soybean Harvest as Farm Margins Approach Breakeven

March 16, 2026
Joana Colussi and Michael Langemeier

Impacts of Differences between RMA Projected Prices and Futures Prices on the Level and Frequency of Crop Insurance Indemnity Payments

March 13, 2026
Bruce Sherrick, Henrique Monaco, Nick Paulson, Carl Zulauf, and Gary Schnitkey

Flashback, 1979: What the Previous Cliff Might Tell Us About the Potential One Ahead

March 12, 2026
Jonathan Coppess

Insurance Impacts in the Presence of High Subsidy – High Coverage Products: A Case Study of STAX

March 11, 2026
Carl Zulauf, Henrique Monaco, Gary Schnitkey, Nick Paulson, and Jonathan Coppess

SCO, ECO, and the Probability of Regret

March 10, 2026
Nick Paulson, Gary Schnitkey, Henrique Monaco, and Carl Zulauf

From Infrastructure Investment to Expanded Market Access: China’s Belt and Road Initiative in Africa and the Implications for U.S. Trade Policy

March 9, 2026
Gerald Mashange

Producer Sentiment, Farm Growth, and Transition Planning

March 6, 2026
Michael Langemeier and Joana Colussi

Flipping the Pyramid: Public Perceptions of New Dietary Guidelines

March 5, 2026
Maria Kalaitzandonakes, Brenna Ellison, Mary Muth, and Jonathan Coppess

Ethanol Production Profits in 2025

March 4, 2026
Scott Irwin

Projected Prices and Volatility Factors for 2026

March 3, 2026
Nick Paulson, Gary Schnitkey, Henrique Monaco, Bruce Sherrick and Carl Zulauf

New Commodity Program Base Acres

March 2, 2026
Carl Zulauf, Nick Paulson, Jonathan Coppess, and Gary Schnitkey

The U.S. Farm Machinery & Equipment Market: Sales, Inventories, and Tariff Headwinds

February 27, 2026
Gerald Mashange

Now Would Seem Like a Good Time to Think Seriously About the CRP

February 26, 2026
Jonathan Coppess

Rewriting the RFS Playbook: The Impact of No Half-RIN and Higher RVOs on Projected Biomass-Based Diesel Production and Feedstock Use for 2026-2027

February 25, 2026
Todd Hubbs and Scott Irwin

Common Questions on SCO and ECO

February 24, 2026
Gary Schnitkey, Nick Paulson, Carl Zulauf, and Henrique Monaco

U.S. and Brazil Soybean Competitiveness: Farm-Level Costs and Returns

February 23, 2026
Joana Colussi and Michael Langemeier

Historical Cropping Patterns for Illinois Grain Farms

February 20, 2026
Bradley Zwilling

Revisiting the Basis Risk when evaluating SCO and ECO

February 19, 2026
Henrique Monaco, Gary Schnitkey, Nick Paulson, Bruce Sherrick and Carl Zulauf

Trends in the Operational Efficiency of the U.S. Ethanol Industry: 2025 Update

February 18, 2026
Scott Irwin

Comparing Crop Insurance Scenarios with SCO and ECO for 2026

February 17, 2026
Nick Paulson, Gary Schnitkey, Henrique Monaco, and Carl Zulauf

Off-Base, Part 5: Farm Policy Has Been Here Before; Lessons Reinforced by History

February 16, 2026
Jonathan Coppess

Prospects for Swine Feed Costs in 2026

February 13, 2026
Michael Langemeier

Off-Base, Part 4: A Fundamental Flaw in the Policy

February 12, 2026
Jonathan Coppess

Release of Insurance Evaluator with the New SCO and ECO

February 10, 2026
Henrique Monaco, Gary Schnitkey, Nick Paulson, Jonathan Coppess, Bruce Sherrick, Carl Zulauf, Christopher Navarro, Pengyin Shan and Lijiang Fu

US Grain Storage Capacity Growth Has Stopped

February 9, 2026
Joe Janzen

Rising Farm Debt and Financial Stress: Evidence from the Ag Economy Barometer

February 6, 2026
Michael Langemeier and Joana Colussi

Has the US Crop Safety Net Become Excessive?

February 5, 2026
Carl Zulauf, David Orden, and Gary Schnitkey

Double Trouble Part 2: Producers Impacted by Rising Interest Expenses and Larger Loan Payments

February 4, 2026
Sarah Atkinson

SCO and ECO Choices in 2026

February 3, 2026
Gary Schnitkey, Nick Paulson, Carl Zulauf, Henrique Monaco, and Bruce Sherrick

Extending the Cattle Cycle with Still Lower Inventories

February 2, 2026
Jason Franken

Double Trouble Part 1: Producers Request Larger Loan Levels with Rising Interest Rates

January 30, 2026
Sarah Atkinson

Off-Base, Part 3: Picking Winners & Losers with Policy

January 29, 2026
Jonathan Coppess

Expected Yields for SCO and ECO in Illinois

January 27, 2026
Gary Schnitkey, Henrique Monaco, Nick Paulson, Carl Zulauf, and Bruce Sherrick

Regional Cost of Living Differences

January 26, 2026
Mark White

Off Base, Part 2: The View from the CBO Baseline

January 22, 2026
Jonathan Coppess

Projected Incomes on Owned vs Rented Farmland for 2026

January 20, 2026
Nick Paulson, Gary Schnitkey, Brad Zwilling, and Carl Zulauf

Tenure Characteristics of Illinois Farmland

January 16, 2026
Bradley Zwilling

Off Base, Part 1: Reviewing Issues and Problems with Base Acre Policy

January 15, 2026
Jonathan Coppess

Revised Illinois Crop Budgets for 2026

January 13, 2026
Nick Paulson, Gary Schnitkey, Brad Zwilling, and Carl Zulauf

The Dramatic Change in US Ag Land Price-Rent Ratio

January 9, 2026
Carl Zulauf and Bruce Sherrick

Forecasting US Field Crop Sector Prosperity

January 7, 2026
Carl Zulauf and Gary Schnitkey

Farmer Bridge Assistance Program Payment Rates

January 6, 2026
Nick Paulson, Gary Schnitkey, Jonathan Coppess, and Carl Zulauf

The People Behind the Machines: Precision Agriculture and Farm Service Technician Demand

January 5, 2026
Parthu Kalva and Joe Janzen

Labor Standards

January 2, 2026
Michael Langemeier

The Number and Composition of Legal Entities Engaged in Farming: Initial Evidence from FSA Payment Files

December 31, 2025
J.R. Glenn and Joe Janzen

Can China Reduce Soybean Import Demand? Evaluating Soybean Meal Reduction Efforts

December 30, 2025
Jilang Qing and Joe Janzen

Bearish Market Hog Inventories and Farrowing Intentions

December 29, 2025
Jason Franken

Volatile Biofuels Demand is Reshaping the Price Relationship between Soybean and Palm Oils

December 26, 2025
Yu-Chi Wang and Joe Janzen

Winter Oilseeds as a Response to Biofuels Feedstock Demand

December 23, 2025
Jacob Lionberger and Joe Janzen

What Caused the U.S. Ethanol Boom?

December 22, 2025
Scott Irwin

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