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Gardner Policy Series

Initial Review of the House 2018 Farm Bill

  • April 26, 2018
  • Jonathan Coppess, Gary Schnitkey, Nick Paulson and Carl Zulauf

On Thursday, April 18, 2018, the House Agriculture Committee reported its version of the farm bill titled the Agriculture and Nutrition Act of 2018. The vote to report the bill…
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Crop Insurance Performance in 2017

  • April 24, 2018
  • Gary Schnitkey

In 2017, the Federal crop insurance program had low insurance payments relative to total premium. The 2017 loss ratio for the entire Federal program was .42, well below the targeted…
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Weekly Outlook

Is Corn Setting Up for a Rally?

  • April 23, 2018
  • Todd Hubbs

Corn futures prices moved lower last week despite the slow pace of corn planting thus far this year. High levels of corn consumption continue to peck away at the corn…
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Weekly Outlook

Too Early to Worry About Corn Acreage?

  • April 16, 2018
  • Todd Hubbs

Recent unseasonably cold and wet weather over much of the Corn Belt precipitates speculation into the prospect of reduced corn acreage this year. With March Prospective Plantings at 88 million…
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Gardner Policy Series

Reviewing the CBO Baseline for 2018 Farm Bill Debate

  • April 12, 2018
  • Jonathan Coppess, Gary Schnitkey, Nick Paulson and Carl Zulauf

On April 9, 2018, the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) released its updated and revised baseline for the major programs in the farm bill. If Congress reauthorizes the farm bill programs…
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Gardner Policy Series

Interest Rate and Current U.S. Cropland Prices

  • April 11, 2018
  • Carl Zulauf, Gary Schnitkey, Jonathan Coppess and Nick Paulson

The Federal Reserve has initiated what appears to be sustained, incremental increases in the Federal Funds rate and by extension other interest rates. Current expectation is for a ¾ to…
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Weekly Outlook

Will Soybean Ending Stocks Get Larger?

  • April 9, 2018
  • Todd Hubbs

Recent rumblings of potential tariffs by China on U.S. soybeans created a stir last week. While the market reacts to the uncertainty associated with trade policy, the upcoming WASDE report,…
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Gardner Policy Series

Why They Can’t All Be Trade Surpluses

  • April 4, 2018
  • Kathy Baylis, Steve Burak and Jonathan Coppess

As the potential for a trade war with China escalates, and the rhetoric about NAFTA continues to heat up, we thought we'd step back and talk a bit about the…
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Weekly Outlook

Pork Tariffs Sour Industry Outlook

  • April 2, 2018
  • Chris Hurt

The 2018 outlook early this year was for modest profitability. Now, it has shifted to losses. The reasons are clear. Higher costs and lost exports as China has implemented a…
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