Collected Publications for USDA reports

June Acreage Report Heightens Uncertainty

USDA Reports Provide Surprises for Corn

Anticipating March 1 Corn Stocks

Anticipating USDA’s 2019 Net Farm Income Forecast

USDA Reports Provide Little Support for Corn and Soybeans

Anticipating the January USDA Reports

Adjusting USDA’s Net Farm Income Forecast Based on Historic Performance

Anticipating September 1 Stocks for Corn and Soybeans

Measuring the Accuracy of Forecasting Corn and Soybean Yield with Good and Excellent Crop Condition Ratings

Anticipating June 1 Corn Stocks

Does the Bias in Early Season Crop Condition Ratings for Corn and Soybeans Vary with the Magnitude of the Ratings?

What to Make of High Early Season Crop Condition Ratings for Soybeans

What to Make of High Early Season Crop Condition Ratings for Corn?

Will Farm Income Really Drop to a 12-Year Low in 2018?

USDA Reports Provide Some Surprises

Anticipating December 1 Corn Stocks

Interpreting USDA’s November Farm Income Forecast

Should We Be Surprised about the U.S. Average Yield of Corn and Soybeans in 2017?

Interpreting USDA’s Recent Farm Income Forecast

Cattle on Feed Inventory Remains Above a Year Ago

Interpreting USDA’s Net Farm Income Forecast

Corn and Soybean Yield Forecasts Larger Than Expected

June 30 Stocks and Acreage Reports Implications for Corn and Soybeans

Soybeans and the June 30 USDA Reports

The Role of Weather in the Pattern of Corn Prices over Time

Are There Predictable Crop Price Cycles?

How Should We Use Within-Season Crop Condition Ratings for Corn and Soybeans?

When Should We Start Paying Attention to Crop Condition Ratings for Corn and Soybeans?

What’s Driving the Non-Linear Trend in U.S. Average Soybean Yields?

U.S. Soybean Yield Trends for Irrigated and Non-Irrigated Production

Will the Shift in Soybean Acreage Impact National Yield in 2017? A State-Level Trend Analysis

What to expect from the next USDA Prospective Plantings Report?

Large South American Corn and Soybean Crop Forecasts Place Pressure on Prices

Using the Soybean-to-Corn Price Ratio to Predict Corn and Soybean March Planting Intentions

Forming Expectations for the 2017 Brazil and Argentina Corn and Soybean Yields: The Impact of La Niña

2017 Corn Prospects

Assessing Argentina Soybean Yield Risks: Historical Deviations from Trend

USDA Reports Provide Support to Soybean Prices

Assessing Brazilian Soybean Yield Risks: Historical Deviations from Trend

Prospects for Corn Consumption from Ethanol Production in 2017

Assessing Argentine Corn Yield Risk: Historical Deviations from Trend

Assessing Brazilian Corn Yield Risks with the First and Second Crops: Historical Deviations from Trend

Assessing South American Soybean Yield Risks: Estimating the Yield Trend

Assessing South American Corn Yield Risks: Estimating the Yield Trend

Assessing South American Corn and Soybean Yield Risks: Exploring the Data Sources

Revisiting Surprises in USDA’s Quarterly Grain Stocks Estimates–Evidence from Wheat

Big Corn and Soybean Crops Get Bigger is a Myth!

Large U.S. Corn and Soybean Production Prospects Confirmed

Soybean Use Exceeded USDA Projection, Did Corn Use Fall Short?

Opening Up the Black Box: More on the USDA Corn Yield Forecasting Methodology

Category Archive