Collected Publications for farmdoc daily - farmdoc daily

Cost to Produce Corn and Soybeans in Illinois—2025

April 17, 2026
Bradley Zwilling

Rewriting the RFS Playbook: Final 2026-2027 RVOs for Biomass-Based Diesel

April 16, 2026
Todd Hubbs and Scott Irwin

Forecast Performance of RMA Expected Yields: Comparison of Yield Projection Methods

April 15, 2026
Carl Zulauf and Nick Paulson

Historical View of U.S. Row Crop Acreage

April 14, 2026
Nick Paulson, Gary Schnitkey, Jonathan Coppess, Carl Zulauf, and Ryan Goodrich

Illinois Cash Rents and Leasing Expectations Through 2027

April 13, 2026
Juo-Han Tsay and Gary Schnitkey

The Iran Conflict and Fertilizer Markets: Why Brazil Faces Greater Near-Term Risk than the U.S.

April 10, 2026
Henrique Monaco, Joana Colussi, Gary Schnitkey, Nick Paulson, Andre Vieira Lobo, and Joao Arromatte

Fats in the MAHA Era: Consumer Perceptions of Common Cooking Fats

April 9, 2026
Maria Kalaitzandonakes, Brenna Ellison, and Jonathan Coppess

Trillionitus and the US Farm Safety Net

April 8, 2026
Carl Zulauf and Henrique Monaco

2026 Illinois Farmland Price Expectations: Navigating a Stable Yet Softening Market

April 7, 2026
Juo-Han Tsay and Gary Schnitkey

USDA Baseline Points to Declining U.S. Row Crop Acreage

April 6, 2026
Ryan Goodrich, Nick Paulson and Gary Schnitkey

Trends in General Inflation and Farm Input Prices

April 3, 2026
Michael Langemeier

Net Interest Margins of U.S. Commercial Banks Participating in Agricultural Lending Widen in the Fourth Quarter of 2025

April 2, 2026
Gerald Mashange

Forecast Performance of RMA Expected Yields

April 1, 2026
Carl Zulauf, Henrique Monaco, Gary Schnitkey, Bruce Sherrick, and Jonathan Coppess

High Fertilizer Prices Suggest Reconsidering Application Rates

March 31, 2026
Nick Paulson, Gary Schnitkey, Carl Zulauf, and Laura Gentry

Managing Supply: Balancing Fewer Farrowings with Record Litter Sizes

March 30, 2026
Jason Franken

The Strait of Hormuz: Why Global Trade Dependency Turns a Localized Conflict into a Global Crisis

March 27, 2026
Gerald Mashange

Another Round of Crop Insurance; Update from the Policy Design Lab

March 26, 2026
Jonathan Coppess

Burdensome Grain & Oilseed Stocks?

March 25, 2026
Carl Zulauf

Nitrogen Prices Remain in Focus After Iran Conflict

March 24, 2026
Nick Paulson, Gary Schnitkey, Henrique Monaco, and Carl Zulauf

Strait of Hormuz Closure and Fertilizer Supply Risks for U.S. Agriculture

March 23, 2026
Shawn Arita, Rwit Chakravorty, Jiyeon Kim, Wuit Yi Lwin, and Sandro Steinbach

How Do Your Components of Net Worth Stack Up?

March 20, 2026
Bradley Zwilling

Biodiesel Production Profits and Tax Credits

March 19, 2026
Scott Irwin

The Iran Conflict: Potential Impacts on 2026 Corn and Soybean Returns

March 17, 2026
Gary Schnitkey, Carl Zulauf, Nick Paulson, and Jim Baltz

Brazil Heads for a Record Soybean Harvest as Farm Margins Approach Breakeven

March 16, 2026
Joana Colussi and Michael Langemeier

Impacts of Differences between RMA Projected Prices and Futures Prices on the Level and Frequency of Crop Insurance Indemnity Payments

March 13, 2026
Bruce Sherrick, Henrique Monaco, Nick Paulson, Carl Zulauf, and Gary Schnitkey

Flashback, 1979: What the Previous Cliff Might Tell Us About the Potential One Ahead

March 12, 2026
Jonathan Coppess

Insurance Impacts in the Presence of High Subsidy – High Coverage Products: A Case Study of STAX

March 11, 2026
Carl Zulauf, Henrique Monaco, Gary Schnitkey, Nick Paulson, and Jonathan Coppess

SCO, ECO, and the Probability of Regret

March 10, 2026
Nick Paulson, Gary Schnitkey, Henrique Monaco, and Carl Zulauf

From Infrastructure Investment to Expanded Market Access: China’s Belt and Road Initiative in Africa and the Implications for U.S. Trade Policy

March 9, 2026
Gerald Mashange

Producer Sentiment, Farm Growth, and Transition Planning

March 6, 2026
Michael Langemeier and Joana Colussi

Flipping the Pyramid: Public Perceptions of New Dietary Guidelines

March 5, 2026
Maria Kalaitzandonakes, Brenna Ellison, Mary Muth, and Jonathan Coppess

Ethanol Production Profits in 2025

March 4, 2026
Scott Irwin

Projected Prices and Volatility Factors for 2026

March 3, 2026
Nick Paulson, Gary Schnitkey, Henrique Monaco, Bruce Sherrick and Carl Zulauf

New Commodity Program Base Acres

March 2, 2026
Carl Zulauf, Nick Paulson, Jonathan Coppess, and Gary Schnitkey

The U.S. Farm Machinery & Equipment Market: Sales, Inventories, and Tariff Headwinds

February 27, 2026
Gerald Mashange

Now Would Seem Like a Good Time to Think Seriously About the CRP

February 26, 2026
Jonathan Coppess

Rewriting the RFS Playbook: The Impact of No Half-RIN and Higher RVOs on Projected Biomass-Based Diesel Production and Feedstock Use for 2026-2027

February 25, 2026
Todd Hubbs and Scott Irwin

Common Questions on SCO and ECO

February 24, 2026
Gary Schnitkey, Nick Paulson, Carl Zulauf, and Henrique Monaco

U.S. and Brazil Soybean Competitiveness: Farm-Level Costs and Returns

February 23, 2026
Joana Colussi and Michael Langemeier

Historical Cropping Patterns for Illinois Grain Farms

February 20, 2026
Bradley Zwilling

Revisiting the Basis Risk when evaluating SCO and ECO

February 19, 2026
Henrique Monaco, Gary Schnitkey, Nick Paulson, Bruce Sherrick and Carl Zulauf

Trends in the Operational Efficiency of the U.S. Ethanol Industry: 2025 Update

February 18, 2026
Scott Irwin

Comparing Crop Insurance Scenarios with SCO and ECO for 2026

February 17, 2026
Nick Paulson, Gary Schnitkey, Henrique Monaco, and Carl Zulauf

Off-Base, Part 5: Farm Policy Has Been Here Before; Lessons Reinforced by History

February 16, 2026
Jonathan Coppess

Prospects for Swine Feed Costs in 2026

February 13, 2026
Michael Langemeier

Off-Base, Part 4: A Fundamental Flaw in the Policy

February 12, 2026
Jonathan Coppess

Release of Insurance Evaluator with the New SCO and ECO

February 10, 2026
Henrique Monaco, Gary Schnitkey, Nick Paulson, Jonathan Coppess, Bruce Sherrick, Carl Zulauf, Christopher Navarro, Pengyin Shan and Lijiang Fu

US Grain Storage Capacity Growth Has Stopped

February 9, 2026
Joe Janzen

Rising Farm Debt and Financial Stress: Evidence from the Ag Economy Barometer

February 6, 2026
Michael Langemeier and Joana Colussi

Has the US Crop Safety Net Become Excessive?

February 5, 2026
Carl Zulauf, David Orden, and Gary Schnitkey

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